Friday, May 14, 2021

Thoughts for the Day: Friday 14 May 2021

 


Purpose is whatever you say it is when you wake up in the morning. And purpose doesn’t carry over all by itself from day to day. You have to create it fresh when you wake up.

My lesson from Soros is to start every meeting at my boutique by convincing everyone that we are a bunch of idiots who know nothing and are mistake-prone, but happen to be endowed with the rare privilege of knowing it.

Sextus Empiricus shows the fallibility of induction continuing to be a live issue in philosophy. It would be a mistake, he says, to suppose that because most animals eat by moving the lower jaw, all do, since the crocodile moves the upper jaw.

Yet they all agree, whether they state it explicitly or not, that we should avoid highly processed grains and sugar and sugary beverages (and, implicitly, alcoholic beverages like beer), which are the most fattening of the carbohydrates by our understanding of insulin dynamics.

“In a fully developed bureaucracy there is nobody left with whom one can argue, to whom one can present grievances, on whom the pressures of power can be exerted. Bureaucracy is the form of government in which everybody is deprived of political freedom, of the power to act; for the rule by Nobody is not no-rule, and where all are equally powerless, we have a tyranny without a tyrant.”

The solidarity of mankind may well turn out to be an unbearable burden, and it is not surprising that the common reactions to it are political apathy, isolationist nationalism, or desperate rebellion against all powers that be rather than enthusiasm or a desire for a revival of humanism. The idealism of the humanist tradition of enlightenment and its concept of mankind look like reckless optimism in the light of present realities.

Where a lawyer or auditor might stretch the truth without telling any lies, marketing and advertising frequently bypass our rational faculties altogether, drawing us into a world of affect and fantasy.
--Nicholas Gruen

The Second World War transformed Keynesian economics as a profession, winning the doctrine an unexpected set of institutional allies in what Dwight D. Eisenhower would eventually label the “military-industrial complex.” Keynesian ideas, which had been developed explicitly to combat “militarism,” became essential to the maintenance of a permanently militarized world.


Thursday, May 13, 2021

We Are the Weather: Saving the Planet Begins at Breakfast by Jonathan Safran Foer

 

Lots to admire; lots to loath


Imagine a tool. A weapon, really, but a “good” weapon. It does no violence; quite the contrary. In fact, you might describe it as a love bomb. It seeks to persuade; it’s the tool of the better angels of our nature. It can be deployed against an enemy; but the enemy is not a person or a particular group of people; but all of us, collectively, our beliefs, habits, and presumptions. Some don’t need to be “bombed,” but many of us still need to have some (figurative) sense knocked into us. Imagine that there is a writer who has the (rhetorical) knowledge and skill to deploy a weapon with a huge “payload.” (What a euphemism!) The question will arise, what is the appropriate target? Perhaps a command and control center or the key weapons factory. Or perhaps the stables where the ceremonial parade horses are kept. 


Really, take aim at the stables?


In reading this book I developed a Jekyll and Hyde attitude towards it. Swooning in places with admiration for Foer’s skills as a writer and his ability to bring into sharp focus important issues by appealing to a mix of thoughts and emotions that any rhetorician would admire. And there were places where I wanted to fling the book against the nearest wall while shouting “Damned fool!” When I noted my completion of the book in Goodreads and was asked to rate the book (on a five-star scale) I couldn’t decide between either a “five” and a “zero,” so I left it unranked, a rare decision on my part. 


Before going on with the review, perhaps I should share a sense of where I’m coming from, my beliefs, prejudices, habits, and suspicions. I believe that the issues of global climate change and environmental degradation in general (the air, the soil, the sea, and all the biospheres that they support) are the critical issues of our time. To borrow a term that I don’t like but that has carried the day, global climate change and environmental degradation present “existential risks” to humanity. I’m confident that Foer and I agree on this assessment. And as to diet (the other topic of Foer’s book along with the challenge of global climate change), I’m a curious layman. I enjoy food (a matter of aesthetics, or perhaps more bluntly, hedonism), but I also keep an eye on health. I was born lucky and have remained lucky about my health, and the older I get, the keener I am to keep my run of good luck going by not pressing it. I seek to exert—to the extent that I can—control over my well-being by paying attention to diet, exercise, sleep, relationships, and by not taking foolish risks. I’ve eaten meat all of my life except for a very brief stint eating vegetarian. I’ve changed my opinions about diet, and when considering a diet, I hold my judgments lightly given the state of our knowledge in the field of nutrition, which is poor, limited, and conflicted. Perhaps my most confidant opinion is that the SAD diet—the Standard American Diet—is the worst diet for anyone. How do I describe the SAD diet? The easiest way is to say it consists of what you mostly find in a bodega, convenience store, or fast food joint. I’m an omnivore, aspiring toward “nutrivore” status. Diet is personal to each of us for reasons of religion, philosophy, personal health, taste, and convenience. I eat meat and other animal products along with a variety of plant foods. Given our individuality, biological and cultural, choice is essential when it comes to diet. 


N.B. I will make many assertions in the course of this review, including some statistics. After I complete this post, I will post a bibliographical essay to share my sources. You will find it here when it’s posted. (Posted 5.16.21)


The other starting point I should share is that I had a sense of Foer’s agenda before starting the book. I’d not read any of his books before, but I recognized his name. I knew that he’s published a book Eating Animals (2009), and in a conversation about We Are the Weather, my conversation partner reported that she’d gone vegetarian for about a year after reading that book. I knew that Foer was quite critical of practices in the animal livestock industry, a critique with which I’m sympathetic. 


During the course of reading this book initially, I also discovered that Foer had written an article in the New York Times a year ago (May 2020) entitled “The End of Meat Is Here.” I read this article and I have to report that it influenced my thinking; the article had none of the virtues of this book and all the faults—in spades. At least I had the good sense not to ever consider hurling an online article against the wall. 


As I indicated earlier, I believe that Foer and I agree about the dire threat that global climate change presents to all humans; not just our descendants, but those of us, young and old, now living. And as to practical measures, we agree about a lot of the actions that can be taken by individuals, families, and businesses to help alleviate the problem. In the initial pages of the book, especially the first 64 pages (and some beyond), Foer deploys a wide variety of vignettes, analogies, and metaphors in support of creating in his readers an appreciation of the magnitude of the problem and its challenges. He seeks to create a mindset in his readers by deploying his rhetorical arsenal that I alluded to in the opening paragraph of this review. But then on page 64, we get the Big Reveal and the Big Ask. (Did Foer really believe that any reader would get to this point in the book, not to mention having started it, without knowing what was coming? This delayed revelation created some suspense, but after a while, he should get to the point after beating around the bush for so long.) 


And the Big Reveal? Warning! Spoiler alert ahead: “[W]e cannot save the planet unless we significantly reduce our consumption of animal products” (p.64). The Big Ask: “no animal products before dinner.” Id. On the following page, he discusses the fact that he researched and  wrote a book “rejecting factory farming” entitled Eating Animals and spent two years giving “hundreds of readings, lectures, and interviews . . . making the case that “factory-farmed meat should not be eaten” (p.65). Fair enough. But in getting to this point (and well-beyond) I got the sense that Foer has an answer (“don’t eat meat”) in search of a question. His rejection of “factory-farming” (which, by the way, seems to be limited in his mind to animal agriculture) didn’t get the response that he wanted, and now he arrives at a new justification, expanding his recommendation from “factory-farmed meat” to “animal products.” Is this justified? Is this the appropriate target of his impressive rhetorical weapon? 


Foer seems to believe it is justified, drawing on statistics (the first cousin of lies and damned lies) that purport to show that livestock contributes between 14.5% and 51% of total greenhouse gases worldwide. (Such a huge spread in estimates makes one skeptical, doesn’t it?) Foer doesn’t emphasize that these are worldwide figures. For those of us in the U.S., for instance, the figures are quite different. According to the EPA, livestock in the U.S. contributes 3.9% to the total amount of U.S. GHG emissions, and of that only 2% comes from those evil cows. Of course, some nations do better than us. Japan’s livestock contributes only 1% of its GHG emissions. Less developed countries, which often consist of large tracts of land that are too poor (“marginal”) for crops; therefore, grazing by ruminant animals (cows, sheep, goats, etc.) is the only ecologically sound alternative. But livestock from these poorer countries creates 80% of the worldwide contribution of livestock to GHG emissions (that 14.5% to 51% figure that Foer likes to cite.). As an example, India’s huge cow herd is one-tenth as efficient as the U.S. dairy herd. The U.S. creates 18% of the world’s beef with only 6% of the world’s cattle. (N.B. Efficiency  isn’t necessarily the most important value—economists notwithstanding, but it certainly belongs in the mix.) 


Perhaps like me, you might have thought that tailpipes and smokestacks were the big problems, spewing forth GHG (CO2) and the like. And you’d be correct, I contend. Indeed, taking it a step back, isn’t the real source of the problem simply fossil fuels? Foer ignores the fact that the GHG emissions from ruminants, including methane, have been ongoing for millions of years and that these emissions are a part of a natural cycle that caused no global warming despite the fact that an estimated 100 million ruminants lived in pre-Columbian America, a number close to the number found today. One estimate suggests that current livestock GHG contributions in North America are about 14% higher than the emissions created in pre-Columbian America by wild ruminants.


So, for me, as a contemporary American, the most important step I can take to reduce my contribution to GHG emissions is to avoid animal products until supper time? Really? I need to worry much less about using our car, taking flights, wasting food (40% of food in the U.S. goes to waste after arrival at the retail level), composting, clothes drying, etc., all of which involve fossil fuels. Are all these undertakings significantly less consequential in inflating our carbon footprint than our animal product consumption? I’m skeptical. And how do we, daily, compare one carbon-generating activity to another? (More about this later.) Also, in reviewing EPA statistics, I find that plant-based agriculture in the U.S. contributes more to GHG than the livestock sector. Reading Foer, you’d think that crops are grown with tractors, combines, and synthetic fertilizers that rely on pixie-dust and not fossil fuels. 


After the Big Reveal and the Big Ask, the going gets tougher—or in my case at least—more irritating. Some things become more and more clear. One such irritant is Foer’s struggle with his self-imposed guilt about his continued consumption of animal products, such as eating hamburgers while on a book tour for Eating Animals and his intention to forego all eggs and dairy—when he’s done with this book. His suggestion that he has trouble staying the (vegan) course arises from the claim that we’re all simply used to eating meat, and we just don’t want to give up the habit, familiarity, and comfort of eating meat and using dairy and eggs. In short, he’s into guilt-tripping his readers. But there’s a glaring absence in his argument. It’s his failure to address why humans have been meat-eaters for as long as there have been humans (other than his suggestion of laziness and habit). Over the millennia some few individuals have foregone meat and even all animal products for religious or philosophical reasons. But the reason for eating meat, in addition to the built-in flavor prejudice that I imagine has been provided by evolution, arises from its nutritional value. We eat beef (to pick one prominent example) because of its high nutritional density and relatively low calories. Compare the caloric load of getting 20g of protein from beef against the same amount of protein from a combination of rice and beans. The latter provides many more calories in the form of carbohydrates and less of most other nutrients. And does anyone in the U.S. need more calories from carbohydrates? Not me. But Foer’s few references to nutrition and health only repeat some of the claims that red meat is bad for you, “findings” that more and more seem destined for the junk heap of science. 


Foer’s conclusions and recommendations about the effects of animal agriculture and his statements that suggest that plant and animal sources of nutrition were nearly interchangeable started to gnaw on me. And something earlier in the book had also caught raised my hackles, and it dawned on me how these two irritants come together. The early alarm came when Foer commented on Al Gore’s documentary, An Inconvenient Truth. Foer praised the film, but he argues that recommendations at the end of the film are too “vague” (p. 54) and anodyne. Seem familiar? But most of all, he made this telling statement: 


There is a glaring absence in Gore’s list [of steps individuals can take to reduce their carbon footprint], and its invisibility recurs in 2017’s An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power, with one minuscule exception. It is impossible to explain this omission as accidental without also accusing Gore of a kind of radical ignorance or malpractice. In terms of the scale of the error, it would be equivalent to a doctor prescribing physical exercise to a patient recovering from a heart attack without telling him he needs to quit smoking, reduce his stress, and stop eating burgers and fries twice a day” (p. 55-56).


Note that Foer doesn’t state what that “it” is—remember the Big Reveal that this is all about animal products doesn’t occur until page 64—and he leaves implicit the suggestion that Gore was merely caving to political pressure in omitting any suggestion of reducing the consumption of animal products (even after he’d been out of politics for 17 years). But while this irritated me when I first read it, upon re-reading the book (yes, I did), I realized that Foer had perfectly framed the indictment that I wanted to bring against him. Foer’s choice of a target (animal agriculture)  and claims about its significance as a driver of greenhouse gas emissions amounts to either “radical ignorance or malpractice.” My irritation arises not only from his questionable claim that animal products are the most important component of any individual’s contribution to reducing GHG emissions.  Nor is my disappointment (leading to ire) solely from his failure to provide an honest and well-considered discussion of the value of an all-plant diet versus the use of animal products. Troublesome as these contentions and omissions are, it’s his targeting (reference my opening paragraph) that I find most appalling. For a reader in the U.S., Canada, Japan, Europe, Australia, or New Zealand, the suggestion that a reduction in animal product consumption is the single most important step an individual, family, or group can take to reduce their GHG emissions is appalling. Left off the target list: fossil fuels, the fossil fuel industry, tailpipes, smokestacks, and human population. (N.B. I don’t want to throw anyone out of the lifeboat, but at some point, humans will have to make a conscious decision about the maximum human population that Mother Earth can sustain at an acceptable level.) 


Foer also skates over the really tough but absolutely crucial and unavoidable issue: we have to make political choices and take collective action. Resolving the problem of climate change and other forms of environmental degradation requires political action. We will have to change our political economy. Daunting? Absolutely! But skipping eating animal products until dinner time (or even all the time) ain’t gonna cut it. 


Foer also reduces the effectiveness of his whole project and fails his readers, especially those like me—and you, I trust—who already appreciate the stakes in addressing GHG emissions and environmental degradation by completely ignoring another crucial issue. That is, at present, we have no effective way of comparing apples and oranges. And we have to compare them. We have to be able to compare the true GHG and environmental costs of each purchase that we make (or don’t make). Lots of figures and equivalences are thrown around (for instance, it takes two years of the (supposed) GHG reduction attributed to eating as a vegan to offset a flight to Europe (return trip not included). I’m convinced that the best way to do this is to set a price on carbon. By doing this, we'd be able to weigh the cost (impact) of each activity and product upon GHG emissions. Of course, the process would have to be accurate and unencumbered by any partisans, such as Big Food attempting to gain an edge in the process over livestock producers or vice versa. And any process must ward off attempts at regulatory capture. If such a system can be established, we could accurately weigh the carbon footprint of a hamburger against an “Impossible Burger” or a trip to see grandma or the thousands of other choices we as individuals and families have to make in the course of our daily affairs. This is why I actively support the Energy Innovation and Carbon Dividend Act (EICDA) promoted by the Citizens Climate Lobby. Any market has its flaws and limitations, but it's the way to proceed for decentralized decision-making across time and space. 


I’ll end on a positive note. I can’t agree more with Foer about taking strong, affirmative steps to address climate change and reduce GHG, including taking reasonable steps in the agricultural sector. From my point of view, to echo his numerous World War II analogies and stories that Foer deploys, we’re truly involved in a world war that must be fought on all fronts. We all need to be armed with the ability to weigh the consequences of our innumerable decisions as consumers and as citizens. If someone is happy and healthy on a vegan diet, more power to them. (“Healthy” is crucial. Although it’s not often discussed, the GHG footprint of our (U.S.) health care system is significant, in no small part because of the load created by food-related diseases such as diabetes (T2), cardiovascular diseases, and cancer.) I, for one, will stick to my current regiment of plants, meat, eggs, and dairy, including some before supper. I’ll also see Foer his vegan path and raise him by expanding my fasting regimen and avoiding junk food. I’ll also continue to lobby on the federal, state, and local levels for meaningful initiatives, such as carbon pricing. I’ll continue to compost, drive less, keep the thermostat down, recycle, waste less food, and promote conservation and sustainable agriculture (which, alas, received only a passing mention from Foer). I’ll act individually and collectively. I’ll keep investigating and refining and adapting my actions and positions as information and perceptions change. 


And you, dear reader? Consider how can best join in the cause. Foer is certainly correct in this assertion: we are the problem and we are the solution.  


Wednesday, May 12, 2021

Thoughts for the Day: Wednesday 12 May 2021

 

A prophetic voice


And it is indeed up to you [grandchildren]; your elders are probably irredeemable. While we may have left you with little in the way of resources, your task is not hopeless. In the end civilization is not something material, it is spiritual. Be inspired by the beauty of the cosmos to invent a way of being devoted to feeding the soul instead of filling the belly. Rediscover the spiritual abundance that resides in material simplicity. Learn again that the only wealth worth having lies in the treasury of the human heart.

“Wisdom cannot be imparted. Wisdom that a wise man attempts to impart always sounds like foolishness to someone else ... Knowledge can be communicated, but not wisdom. One can find it, live it, do wonders through it, but one cannot communicate and teach it.”

The feeling of wealth produces wealth; keep this in mind at all times. Your subconscious mind is like a bank, a sort of universal financial institution. It magnifies whatever you deposit or impress upon it whether it is the idea of wealth or of poverty. Choose wealth.
N.B. I don't know if Murphy would agree, but if you limit your concept of wealth to money, you have a poor mind indeed.

Russia is the kind of country she is, not because of one-party elections poorly attended, but because of large and complex historical circumstances. These circumstances have bred freedoms and inhibitions not marked off on our simple yardstick. If a nation wishes to bring in Hitler, it can do that through election as easily as by other means. If a nation wishes to have free elections and slavery, it can manage that—as our Founding Fathers did. Conversely, traditional freedoms can be maintained where elections have not penetrated.



Tuesday, May 11, 2021

Thoughts for the Day: Tuesday 11 May 2021

 


[B]y calming yourself when you are excited by restlessness and energizing yourself when you are dulled by inertia, you exercise and strengthen two of the Seven Factors of Enlightenment—tranquility and energy. You also strengthen your equanimity and metta. Similarly with the other three energies: you exercise all your enlightenment muscles, thereby allowing your buddha nature to manifest more strongly.

“Americans who live in metropolitan areas with more than a million residents are, on average, more than 50% more productive than Americans who live in smaller metropolitan areas. These relationships are the same even when we take into account the education, experience, and industry of workers. They’re even the same if we take individual workers’ IQs into account.” Globally we see the same effect: the world’s 300 biggest metropolitan areas produce half of global GDP and two-thirds of GDP growth.
But beyond their productivity, are these people healthy & happy? Perhaps productivity isn't the single or even most important metric that we should use to judge.

To understand this model of relentless action and reaction, think about the three great crises of the twenty-first century—9/11, the financial crash, and Covid-19—one political, one economic, and one natural. In the first, 9/11, we saw that the supposedly unstoppable march of capitalism, democracy, and American hegemony had produced an angry, violent reaction in parts of the Muslim world.
The divisions "political, economic, and natural" are too neat, especially in looking back at the financial crisis (very political in origin) and the Covid-19 crisis: financial & political & cultural norms were more significant than the virus itself.

[N]atural selection didn’t design your mind to see the world clearly; it designed your mind to have perceptions and beliefs that would help take care of your genes.

In a technocracy, tools play a central role in the thought-world of the culture. Everything must give way, in some degree, to their development. The social and symbolic worlds become increasingly subject to the requirements of that development. Tools are not integrated into the culture; they attack the culture. They bid to become the culture. As a consequence, tradition, social mores, myth, politics, ritual, and religion have to fight for their lives.


Sunday, May 9, 2021

Thoughts for the (Happy Mother's) Day: Sunday 9 May 2021



Emerson begins his essay “Character” with four paragraphs on morals, three of them opening with that very word. “The will constitutes the man,” he writes. In this Emerson is little different from the most influential of all Victorian philosophers, John Stuart Mill: “A character is a completely fashioned will.”


Parmenides put it more pithily: “Thinking and being are one and the same.” So consciousness is intrinsic to life. Comparatively weak in the most primitive organisms, it gradually grows stronger and more intelligent as nervous systems become more complex, until it evolves into symbolic and self-reflexive thought.

Philosophy and religion are old enemies of probability. Philosophers from the earliest times have wished to distinguish themselves from the spinners of mere rhetoric by offering certainty. Parmenides distinguished sharply between truth, associated with Being, and the opinion of men, called “likely” and associated with non-Being. Logical reasoning is intended, by Parmenides, Plato, Aristotle, and their followers, to establish the foundations of knowledge beyond all doubt, and correspondingly likelihoods are banished as other people’s business.

The point to be stressed here is that any educational institution, if it is to function well in the management of information, must have a theory about its purpose and meaning, must have the means to give clear expression to its theory, and must do so, to a large extent, by excluding information.

Keys had noted associations between heart-disease death rates and fat intake, Yerushalmy and Hilleboe pointed out, but they were just that. Associations do not imply cause and effect or represent (as Stephen Jay Gould later put it) any “magic method for the unambiguous identification of cause.”

Saturday, May 8, 2021

Thoughts for the Day: Saturday 8 May 2021

 



Virtue is happy to pay the price of limited power for the blessing of being together with other men; fear is the despair over the individual impotence of those who, for whatever reason, have refused to “act in concert.”


Strictly speaking, only knowing can have a goal, and Broch was always primarily concerned with a highly practical goal, whether ethical, religious, or political. Thinking does not have a real goal, and unless thinking finds its meaning in itself, it has no meaning at all. (This, of course, applies only to the activity of thinking itself, not to writing down thoughts, an act that has far more to do with artistic and creative processes than with thinking in itself. The writing down of thoughts has in fact both goal and purpose; like all producing activities, it has a beginning and an end.)

Through those changes, the idea property has kept its role in conservative thought as a stabilizer of society providing people—to use Hegel’s term—with “personality,” a capacity for effective action in civic life they would otherwise lack.

Memory for names may be developed just as one would develop any other faculty of the mind, or part of the body, i. e., by Attention and Practice.

When we act hypocritically, then, it's often not that we're ignoring or deliberately disregarding our beliefs and morals; it's merely that our short-term concerns have momentarily triumphed.

A “Nash equilibrium” is what happens when everyone makes their best move, given that all the other players are making their best moves from that Nash equilibrium—everyone goes to Craigslist, because that’s their individually best move given that everyone else is going to Craigslist. A “Pareto optimum” is any situation where it’s impossible to make every actor better off simultaneously, like “Cooperate/Cooperate” in the Prisoner’s Dilemma—there’s no alternative outcome to Cooperate/Cooperate that makes both agents better off. The Prisoner’s Dilemma is a coordination problem because the sole Nash equilibrium of Defect/Defect isn’t Pareto-optimal; there’s an outcome, Cooperate/Cooperate, that both players prefer, but aren’t reaching.

The program of a political party declares in favor of “law and order.” But what law and order, and whose law and order? All sovereignty, the Constitutions say, is vested in the people. But the most liberal parliament and the most despotic Bonapartist equally claim to respect the principle of popular sovereignty.

“And I urge you to please notice when you are happy, and exclaim or murmur or think at some point, ‘If this isn’t nice, I don’t know what is.’”

Kurt Vonnegut